Rigas FS II vs FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
11.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
12º
3º
10
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 46 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 45 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 45 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 34 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 33 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 24 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 39% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
RIG
3 - 1
OUD
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 1
KFV
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 3
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 2
RIG
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
39%
20%
41%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FKB
4 - 0
TUK
11%
15%
74%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -3 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TUK
3 - 1
AUG
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RFA
1 - 1
TUK
30%
20%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
OUD
4 - 1
TUK
49%
22%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |