Rigas FS II vs Beitar/Riga Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+454%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
12º
3º
26
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 57 |
1º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 47 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 46 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 45 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 34 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 32 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 26 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AUG
0 - 0
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
65 | 22 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 1
TUK
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
RIG
3 - 1
OUD
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 1
KFV
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 3
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Beitar/Riga Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKB
3 - 1
SMI
19%
17%
64%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
FKB
4 - 3
VAL
2%
6%
92%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
RFA
2 - 5
FKB
61%
18%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
UPE
0 - 3
FKB
17%
17%
66%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
AUG
1 - 5
FKB
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |