Riga FC II vs AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
2º
23
5º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 0
RIG
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
ALB
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 2
RIG
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
VAL
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 1
RIG
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 0
RFA
60%
19%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKB
1 - 4
PRA
35%
21%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 4
DRS
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TUK
3 - 1
PRA
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 0
PRA
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |