Riga FC II vs Leevon PPK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
14º
8º
18
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 46 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 45 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 43 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 34 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 33 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 26 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 25 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 24 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
RIG
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
RIG
0 - 1
SKA
67%
19%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 3
RFA
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 28 | 44 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
ALB
4 - 0
RIG
35%
26%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 2
RIG
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Leevon PPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
FSL
0 - 4
ALB
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SMI
0 - 4
FSL
70%
15%
15%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FKB
1 - 1
FSL
18%
20%
63%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FSL
1 - 1
AUG
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |