Riga FC II vs JDFS Alberts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
14º
8º
28
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 86% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 0
TUK
73%
17%
11%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
OUD
1 - 0
RIG
25%
23%
52%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 2
KFV
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 1
RIG
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 2
FSL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 3
SUP
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ALB
0 - 0
AUG
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 23 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 2
ALB
25%
25%
51%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
SKA
1 - 2
ALB
21%
22%
57%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 2
OUD
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |