Riga FC II vs FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
14º
8º
10
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
OUD
1 - 0
RIG
25%
23%
52%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 2
KFV
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 1
RIG
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 2
FSL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
RIG
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 2
ALB
25%
25%
51%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 1
TUK
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
39%
20%
41%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FKB
4 - 0
TUK
11%
15%
74%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -3 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TUK
3 - 1
AUG
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | +1 |