Riga FC II vs Beitar/Riga Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+551%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
14º
8º
26
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
RIG
23%
22%
55%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 0
PRA
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
RIG
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 0
KFV
79%
15%
7%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Beitar/Riga Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FKB
0 - 4
FSM
4%
8%
88%
|
14 | 64 | 50 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 5
FKB
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
IEC
1 - 3
FKB
35%
22%
44%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FKB
4 - 1
RSU
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FKU
0 - 2
FKB
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |