Rieti vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 2
RIE
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
RIE
4 - 2
VIT
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SIC
1 - 2
RIE
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
RIE
0 - 1
MON
22%
26%
53%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TER
1 - 1
RIE
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BIS
0 - 1
FRA
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 2
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PIC
0 - 0
FRA
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FRA
6 - 2
USV
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
FRA
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |