Rieti vs Sicula Leonzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 1
RIE
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
RIE
0 - 2
FRA
49%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
RIE
54%
26%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
RIE
4 - 0
MAT
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
RIE
0 - 1
CAT
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SIC
2 - 3
CAV
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
SIC
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
SIC
0 - 0
TRA
17%
24%
60%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 4
SIC
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
SIC
0 - 2
VIT
33%
26%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |