Rieti vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 0
RIE
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 1
RPO
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
6 - 1
RIE
61%
23%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 2
BAR
19%
25%
56%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
PIC
2 - 1
RIE
41%
25%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PAG
5 - 1
REN
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAG
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
FRA
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SIC
2 - 2
PAG
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 0
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +2 |