Rieti vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
RIE
1 - 2
VAS
51%
20%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
UST
1 - 0
RIE
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
RIE
2 - 3
SAN
44%
25%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
RIE
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
RIE
37%
22%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
CAM
19%
24%
57%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 1
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
CYN
31%
23%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
MON
36%
24%
41%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
REC
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |