SV Ried vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
RIE
2 - 1
HAR
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SKA
1 - 1
RIE
46%
23%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
RIE
3 - 2
WAT
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WOL
2 - 1
RIE
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
RIE
3 - 0
GRI
90%
8%
2%
|
77 | 19 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
STR
3 - 0
HAR
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
STR
2 - 2
RAP
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 2
STR
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
STR
0 - 1
BRA
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
NSM
2 - 0
STR
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |