Richmond vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
RIC
6 - 3
SOU
12%
19%
69%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
RIC
3 - 6
MEL
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
OAK
2 - 2
RIC
68%
19%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
6 - 1
RIC
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HUM
3 - 0
RIC
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
BUL
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
MEL
28%
23%
50%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
NOR
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HEU
6 - 1
MEL
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |