Richmond vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
VTC
1 - 3
RIC
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
OAK
1 - 2
RIC
51%
24%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
RIC
1 - 0
SOU
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 3
RIC
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
RIC
2 - 0
SWE
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
DAN
3 - 1
MEL
57%
21%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
MEL
4 - 1
STA
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
HEU
36%
25%
38%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
OAK
0 - 1
MEL
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |