Richmond vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
RIC
0 - 0
SOU
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
RIC
3 - 2
OAK
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 2
RIC
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
HUM
1 - 2
RIC
63%
21%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
RIC
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 2
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
DAN
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 1
MEL
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -3 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 2
DAN
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
DAN
3 - 1
OAK
51%
24%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |