Richmond vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HUM
2 - 2
RIC
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RIC
0 - 1
HEU
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 1
RIC
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
RIC
4 - 2
ALM
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 2
RIC
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DAN
5 - 2
STA
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 1
DAN
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 4
NOR
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
DAN
0 - 1
HEU
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 1
SGC
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |