Richmond vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
OAK
1 - 1
RIC
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SOU
3 - 0
RIC
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
RIC
5 - 1
PLI
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
RIC
1 - 0
SGC
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 0
RIC
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 1
WHZ
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SGC
0 - 1
DAN
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 1
HUM
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DAN
1 - 0
ALM
27%
25%
49%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
DAN
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |