Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
13º
9º
32
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 51 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 51 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
1º
|
32 | 50 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 50 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 41 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 28 |
13º
|
51% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
53.5% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
RIC
1 - 2
TFC
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 12 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
WES
2 - 2
RIC
18%
22%
61%
|
54 | 12 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 0
RIC
29%
25%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CRW
0 - 0
RIC
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RIC
3 - 3
GTR
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Spokane Velocity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SPV
2 - 1
FMA
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 1
CHA
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
AVA
0 - 0
SPV
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 0
RIC
29%
25%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
TOR
0 - 1
SPV
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |