Richards Bay vs Cape Town City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
13º
13º
45
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RIB
0 - 0
MAR
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PIR
0 - 0
RIB
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 1
RIB
55%
27%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RIB
0 - 0
TSG
41%
29%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
RKF
0 - 1
RIB
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
GOL
1 - 1
MPU
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
MPU
0 - 0
SUF
64%
23%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TSG
0 - 1
MPU
30%
28%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MPU
1 - 2
AMA
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
MPU
2 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |