Ribelle vs Castelvetro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
IMO
3 - 2
RIB
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
RIB
0 - 0
LEN
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
USP
0 - 4
RIB
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
RIB
1 - 3
SDA
62%
20%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
RIB
0 - 2
SCA
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
PIA
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
DEL
2 - 1
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LEN
1 - 0
CAS
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
VFC
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 2
SDA
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |