Ribadesella vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribadesella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CLA
4 - 0
RIB
34%
22%
44%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RIB
1 - 1
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 0
RIB
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
RIB
2 - 0
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
RIB
0 - 2
ESM
41%
22%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
CAN
64%
21%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AST
1 - 1
UCO
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 1
GIN
25%
25%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 2
UCO
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAD
4 - 1
UCO
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |