Ribadesella vs Navarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribadesella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
RIB
0 - 2
CAN
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LEA
3 - 1
RIB
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
RIB
3 - 1
CEA
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TUI
2 - 0
RIB
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
RIB
2 - 0
CUD
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
CAU
3 - 2
NAV
66%
21%
14%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 2
MAR
14%
23%
63%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
AVI
1 - 0
NAV
60%
23%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 2
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GIN
0 - 2
NAV
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |