Rhode Island Reds vs Elm City Express analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
63.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rhode Island Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
RIR
0 - 4
TSF
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
NYA
0 - 4
RIR
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
HAC
3 - 2
RIR
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
RIR
2 - 2
BCF
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
GRL
2 - 4
RIR
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Elm City Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
ECE
5 - 1
NYA
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ECE
2 - 0
SUM
86%
9%
4%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
NYC
5 - 0
ECE
71%
16%
13%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
ECE
2 - 1
BCF
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
KST
4 - 4
ECE
38%
22%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |