Perwez vs Merelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 0
THA
53%
22%
26%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
RFC
18%
19%
63%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BXB
2 - 0
RFC
13%
17%
69%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -3 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
RFC
4 - 1
NSB
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TUB
1 - 2
RFC
13%
17%
71%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
MER
2 - 3
KSC
24%
21%
56%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MER
2 - 0
TUR
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
MER
1 - 9
GEN
6%
14%
80%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
CER
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
KSC
1 - 0
MER
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |