Perwez vs Grez-Doiceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
9º
1º
47
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RFC
7 - 0
ETT
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
RFC
29%
22%
49%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 3
RFC
44%
22%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 2
STA
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
EVE
0 - 2
RFC
8%
14%
78%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Grez-Doiceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 3
KOS
35%
22%
44%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 0
STO
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RIX
2 - 1
GRE
13%
18%
70%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
4 - 5
BXB
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NSB
3 - 2
GRE
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |