Perwez vs Saint-Josse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
9º
1º
41
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAI
0 - 2
RFC
12%
17%
71%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 3
GRE
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RFC
7 - 0
ETT
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
RFC
29%
22%
49%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 3
RFC
44%
22%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Josse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
KOS
3 - 2
FCS
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 4
FCG
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
SAI
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ETT
1 - 2
FCS
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 1
SPO
43%
24%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |