Perwez vs Ciney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JOD
0 - 3
RFC
32%
22%
46%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 3
SCH
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RAP
0 - 2
RFC
27%
23%
51%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RFC
3 - 0
RMO
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
COU
1 - 3
RFC
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Ciney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CIN
0 - 0
OST
32%
25%
44%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 3
CIN
55%
21%
25%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CIN
2 - 0
JEU
60%
20%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AIS
2 - 2
CIN
62%
18%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CIN
1 - 1
ARQ
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |