Gilly vs Courcelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-113%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
13º
7º
32
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LER
3 - 9
RFC
36%
21%
43%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RAN
2 - 0
RFC
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 3
MOL
20%
19%
61%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
RFC
33%
22%
46%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 1
FLE
46%
21%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Courcelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
COU
3 - 3
FLE
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 0
COU
78%
14%
7%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COU
1 - 0
SOI
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COU
4 - 1
LUI
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
COU
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |