Gilly vs Ransartoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-113%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
13º
7º
34
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 2
RFC
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 2
BEL
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LUI
1 - 3
RFC
13%
17%
70%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
6 - 5
MON
37%
24%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MOL
2 - 1
RFC
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ransartoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RAN
2 - 0
RMO
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 1
RAN
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RAN
0 - 1
PER
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
RAN
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RAN
0 - 0
HOR
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |