Rey Fernando de Aragón vs Real Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
0.1%
+1
10.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
15.7%
66.1%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
5.8%
3-4
2.4%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
4.4%
3-5
1.4%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
2.7%
3-6
0.7%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
1.3%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rey Fernando de Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
OZG
6 - 1
RFA
45%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RFA
1 - 5
MCA
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RFA
2 - 1
SPZ
29%
21%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RFA
0 - 8
CUB
11%
16%
74%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AVE
5 - 4
RFA
60%
18%
22%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CUB
3 - 2
RCH
72%
14%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RCH
5 - 3
AVE
60%
17%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PER
5 - 4
RCH
72%
14%
14%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RCH
3 - 9
ACR
10%
14%
76%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDB
2 - 2
RCH
41%
20%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |