Rey Fernando de Aragón vs Luripense Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rey Fernando de Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MUR
4 - 1
RFA
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 3
CGT
30%
21%
49%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CSM
3 - 1
RFA
38%
21%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SIR
1 - 1
RFA
50%
20%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 2
SDJ
17%
17%
66%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luripense Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LUA
1 - 2
HIS
41%
20%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 4
LUA
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LUA
0 - 2
MCA
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CLM
3 - 4
LUA
37%
21%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FID
4 - 0
LUA
65%
18%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |