Revilla vs EMD Santillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
REV
16%
20%
64%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
REV
1 - 1
VIL
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
DEV
1 - 3
REV
13%
19%
67%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
REV
1 - 1
MFC
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
COL
0 - 0
REV
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 4
MER
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAN
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
DEV
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MFC
1 - 1
SAN
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |