Revilla vs EMD Santillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SDT
2 - 1
REV
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
REV
1 - 0
TEX
57%
23%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 5
REV
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
REV
4 - 0
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NUE
0 - 3
REV
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
SOL
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SDT
3 - 2
SAN
55%
22%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
CDV
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TEX
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |