Revilla vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LRI
1 - 2
REV
9%
16%
74%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
REV
2 - 0
CAS
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
REV
3 - 2
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
REV
16%
20%
64%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
REV
1 - 1
VIL
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 2
SOD
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 0
CUL
48%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SEL
0 - 0
SAM
40%
25%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 1
MAR
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BEZ
2 - 0
SAM
66%
19%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |