Revilla vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 1
REV
68%
18%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
REV
0 - 0
CAY
16%
24%
60%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CUL
4 - 0
REV
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
REV
1 - 0
SIE
43%
25%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 0
REV
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
RAY
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
TRO
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAY
2 - 0
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
CUL
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SIE
3 - 0
SAM
53%
24%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |