Revilla vs Rinconeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
REV
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
REV
0 - 1
ARE
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 1
REV
11%
19%
70%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
REV
28%
25%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
REV
3 - 1
REO
72%
17%
10%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rinconeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
RIN
1 - 2
COM
40%
25%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MER
3 - 0
RIN
46%
25%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
RIN
3 - 1
UNI
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
RIN
3 - 0
MER
29%
26%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SEL
4 - 1
RIN
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |