Revilla vs Rinconeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
TEX
2 - 1
REV
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
REV
2 - 0
COL
55%
23%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 2
REV
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
REV
2 - 1
MER
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
BUE
1 - 1
REV
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rinconeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
RIN
1 - 0
REO
71%
18%
12%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TEX
2 - 1
RIN
68%
19%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
RIN
1 - 2
PON
28%
25%
48%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
RIN
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
RIN
1 - 4
GIM
27%
26%
47%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |