Revilla vs Reocin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 1
REV
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
REV
1 - 2
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 1
REV
68%
20%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SDT
1 - 1
REV
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
REV
1 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Reocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
REO
0 - 3
SDT
29%
24%
46%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
REO
65%
21%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
REO
3 - 1
SOL
35%
26%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 1
REO
78%
15%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
REO
0 - 1
TEX
10%
19%
71%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |