Revilla vs Cayón B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
REV
1 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SDT
2 - 1
REV
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
REV
1 - 0
TEX
57%
23%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 5
REV
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
REV
4 - 0
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cayón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
CAY
2 - 0
SDT
17%
22%
61%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
TEX
4 - 1
CAY
75%
16%
10%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CAY
2 - 1
MIN
37%
24%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAY
30%
23%
48%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CAY
1 - 4
NUE
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |