Revilla vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GIM
3 - 1
REV
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
REV
3 - 0
RAC
13%
21%
67%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +4 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ALB
3 - 0
REV
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
REV
3 - 2
RAY
26%
25%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
REV
51%
25%
24%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAY
0 - 0
SEL
72%
19%
10%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAY
2 - 0
GIM
31%
28%
41%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
RAC
1 - 0
CAY
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CAY
2 - 0
ALB
76%
17%
7%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
RAY
1 - 3
CAY
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |