Revilla vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
MER
2 - 3
REV
19%
24%
57%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
REV
0 - 2
ARE
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CAY
4 - 5
REV
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
REV
34%
26%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
REV
5 - 1
SDT
60%
21%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAY
1 - 2
SEL
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BUE
2 - 0
CAY
26%
26%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAY
0 - 0
ESC
33%
26%
41%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CAY
1 - 0
BEZ
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
COL
0 - 2
CAY
28%
27%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |