Revilla vs Calasanz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
REV
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
REV
3 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SMA
1 - 2
REV
54%
23%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
RIN
1 - 2
REV
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
REV
0 - 1
MER
36%
26%
39%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Calasanz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CAL
4 - 3
MER
25%
25%
50%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ARE
4 - 0
CAL
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 0
VEL
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
AYR
1 - 4
CAL
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 0
GIM
25%
25%
49%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |