Revilla vs Ayrón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SEL
3 - 1
REV
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
REV
3 - 1
GAM
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
COM
2 - 0
REV
49%
25%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
REV
1 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
REV
1 - 2
RIN
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ayrón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
AYR
1 - 3
TEX
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
COL
1 - 3
AYR
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
AYR
2 - 1
UNI
74%
16%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MER
0 - 2
AYR
34%
25%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
AYR
1 - 2
BUE
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |