Ravan Baku vs Simurq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ravan Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
FCK
1 - 0
REV
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TUR
2 - 1
REV
25%
28%
47%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
REV
2 - 0
AZA
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SUM
0 - 1
REV
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 0
REV
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SIM
1 - 2
AZA
28%
29%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SUM
1 - 2
SIM
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SIM
1 - 1
TUR
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SIM
1 - 1
FCK
34%
27%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
QAR
2 - 0
SIM
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |