Série D Brazil Final round 1/16
Global 3-4
Retro FC vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 2
RFC
20%
24%
57%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RFC
0 - 0
SER
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 1
RFC
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 1
BAH
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
RFC
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
TRE
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
ABC
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 1
ARN
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
ABC
25%
25%
51%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
ABC
9 - 1
CAU
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | +1 |