Residencia B vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Residencia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
RES
11%
17%
73%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RES
1 - 0
PAL
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BEC
0 - 1
RES
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
RES
1 - 1
GAR
82%
11%
6%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
RUB
0 - 1
RES
11%
17%
73%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SLU
0 - 1
FRI
30%
22%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
GAR
0 - 1
SLU
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SCO
3 - 0
SLU
37%
24%
40%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SLU
1 - 3
OUR
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SLU
2 - 1
COM
59%
20%
21%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |