Resende vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
RES
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BON
1 - 1
RES
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
RES
2 - 2
NOV
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
RES
3 - 3
BOA
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 0
RES
82%
14%
4%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
BOT
14%
23%
63%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BOA
4 - 1
DUQ
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 3
MAD
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
DUQ
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
BON
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |