Reocin vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
REO
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
REO
3 - 1
SEL
27%
26%
48%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
COM
3 - 2
REO
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
REO
3 - 1
AYR
41%
25%
34%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
REO
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 0
VEL
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
NAV
60%
22%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 2
REV
38%
25%
38%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SDT
3 - 1
NAV
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 0
SAN
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |