Renown vs Army analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
REN
2 - 1
YOU
52%
20%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
REN
0 - 2
BLU
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 1
REN
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
REN
6 - 2
SLP
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2017 |
ARM
3 - 2
NAV
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
ARM
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
ARM
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ARM
3 - 2
CRY
54%
20%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 0
ARM
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |