Renown vs Army analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
PEL
3 - 5
REN
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
REN
1 - 1
FOR
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 1
REN
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
REN
5 - 2
JAV
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
SLP
0 - 5
REN
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 3
SOL
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COL
2 - 2
ARM
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 1
SLP
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
THI
1 - 7
ARM
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ARM
4 - 0
SUP
54%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |